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It’s already attainable to acknowledge that Russia has misplaced the Third World Battle, it’s a medical prognosis. The demographic losses because of Covid19 already quantity to at least one million folks in a single and a half years, in comparison with the deaths through the First World Battle (from 1.3 to 1.5 million in 4 years). At present, in accordance with figures supplied by the unbiased demographer Alexei Rakcha, between 200 to 300,000 persons are contaminated day by day, with 3,300 to three,500 dying every day. Furthermore, these statistics is perhaps even worse in November.
This defeat is fully the fault of our dysfunctional authorities, which has failed to supply data, isolation and vaccination. All of the myths about authoritarian regimes have been shattered by the overall paralysis of our regime – it’s only able to making certain its personal survival however is disastrously incapable of defending its personal inhabitants in opposition to a world menace. In different phrases, it isn’t fulfilling its main responsibility: offering safety.
That is all of the extra appalling as a result of Russia was properly armed for this battle. Since Semashko [an academician, one of the organizers of the Soviet health system in the 1930s-1940s], there was a paramilitary system of medication and vaccination, together with preventive drugs, whose capabilities, though not ultra-modern, are ample to make sure a comparatively easy logistical and medical operation, with a purposeful administrative hierarchy on the stage of areas, districts and municipalities. This technique, which fully ignores civil protest, is a company verticality that may isolate or vaccinate thousands and thousands of its staff on command. Furthermore, our docs have created a globally aggressive, simply manufactured and portable vaccine, inherited from the Soviet superior vaccination business.
However this gigantic military of docs, officers armed with vaccines merely vanished on the first credible menace the nation confronted within the 21st century: the Kremlin locked itself in its bunker, following the instance of Stalin who had panicked in his dacha in June 1941; the officers, have been afraid to impose quarantine with out orders from above (except for the somersault of Sergei Sobyanin, mayor of Moscow, in April 2020); among the many docs, some heroically stuffed the gaps by their our bodies, whereas the others unfold anti-vaccine fabrications themselves! As for the vaccines, they’ve been despatched to distant nations for unclear geopolitical functions, or dumped gently into medical facilities’ sinks, whereas trafficking in faux vaccination certificates. Similar to in June ‘41, when nearly all of the Soviet aviation was bombed on airfields and tanks in parks…
Nearly all of the inhabitants shamefully surrendered to the virus. After all, each the authorities and the propaganda went to nice lengths to show the residents to disregard the info by inculcating them with conspiracy theories, mendacity to them for a very long time concerning the so-called successes of Russia and the so-called failures of the West in relation to the virus. Due to the efforts of RT and different propagandist trash that invented fakes concerning the virus and vaccines, these fakes got here again like a boomerang to contaminate Russia. However this is just one side of the issue, the opposite being the calamitous state of Russian society, incapable of essentially the most elementary solidarity and social cohesion, incapable of caring about its kin and the widespread good, accustomed to danger and bathing in medical and social nihilism, in indifference and contempt for one’s personal physique. All these nationwide ills, removed from having arisen within the 21st century, have emerged from the bowels of Soviet historical past and prehistory, aggravated by mass tradition, obscurantism and fakes within the age of 3G and social networks. It’s a simultaneous rout of energy and society that complement one another splendidly on this deadly and suicidal tango.
Final yr, I typically expressed my concern concerning the virus, I described its hazard and its future assaults, which earned me the repute of Covid scarecrow from essentially the most “proficient” of my readers. This yr, quite the opposite, I’m fairly comfy. I’ve realized rather a lot about Russia, its leaders and its folks. Definitely, there’s nonetheless rather a lot to study. About those that purchase a vaccination certificates, who don’t care about masks, who crowd the airport check-in counters to depart on full planes on Covid holidays, about these dad and mom who write requests to the prosecutors asking that their kids wouldn’t be examined in school, about these thousands and thousands of passive residents who settle for actuality as it’s, as they’re used to it, with out wanting to alter a single factor, with out wanting to alter the facility or their very own habits, and who march in cohorts in direction of their demise with submission, as different Russian residents have executed in earlier generations. It’s identical to Darwin, I say to myself, it’s surprising that in Russia in 2020-21 a technique of pure choice, an absolute take a look at of survival means, would happen and that almost all of the inhabitants would merely fail it.
Judging from the evolution of the virus and the information from different nations, this story won’t finish in 2023 or 2024, the virus will mutate, evolve from area to area, change, strengthen in Russian-type populations and tackle the character of seasonal waves. Partial isolation and revaccination practices will turn into widespread and might be current in all places. However, on this context, Russia won’t ever attain the edge of herd immunity of about 80%, as a result of new variants will seem and folks will catch them a second, third, fifth time. Furthermore, our nation is structurally incapable of complying with anti-epidemic and vaccine laws, so the state of demographic and medical disaster will most likely turn into persistent, much less acute, with all of the losses that can comply with: lack of high quality of life, decreased life expectancy, and a continuing state of emergency, after all.
And I’m pondering, after all, of the authorities, the military generals and intelligence secret companies who dream of hypersonic rockets and of army bases within the Arctic, who secretly create new chemical laboratories and troops of cyber warriors, making ready for a hypothetical nice battle round 2030 which makes their hearts beat quicker, with out them noticing that they’ve already irretrievably misplaced the true battle.
Traduit du russe par Colette Hartwich
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